L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prévision 52.57%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.624%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%52.55%52.63%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.67%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Elise Mertens (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.43%2.11cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.24%47.45%47.37%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.16%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.17%E -0.624%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.71%E -1.83%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 01:39 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| ReBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 01:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 06:29 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 02:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 04:49 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |