La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 52.57%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.624%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%52.55%52.63%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.67%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 47.43%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.24%47.45%47.37%48.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.16%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.17%E -0.624%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.71%E -1.83%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 01:39 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| ReBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 01:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 04:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 06:29 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 02:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 04:49 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-23 03:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 04:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |