Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%56.61%57.47%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.621.8066.23%61.23%61.73%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.61%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%43.39%42.53%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.252.4050.00%45.14%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 56.81%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 43.19%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +1.92%E +0.815%K +1.41%G +0.027% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.49%E +0.634%K +1.10%G +0.016% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.37%E -7.29%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.49%E +0.634%K +1.10%G +0.016% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.627%E +0.269%K +0.471%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.627%E +0.269%K +0.471%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.237%E -0.103%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -13.08%E -8.55%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -14.21%E -9.41%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.37%E -7.29%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.558%E +0.315%K +0.725%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -13.64%E -8.98%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.74%E -4.66%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV +1.13%E +0.633%K +1.44%G +0.016% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -11.03%E -5.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.558%E +0.315%K +0.725%G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.26%E +1.26%K +2.83%G +0.064% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -1.15%E -0.659%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 69.70% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 30.30% | 43.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |