La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 56.81%1.76momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +2.83%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%56.61%57.47%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.631.621.8066.23%61.23%61.73%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +2.61%
Crecimiento +0.095%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%43.39%42.53%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.252.4050.00%45.14%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.61%G +0.095% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +1.92%E +0.815%K +1.41%G +0.027% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.49%E +0.634%K +1.10%G +0.016% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.37%E -7.29%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.49%E +0.634%K +1.10%G +0.016% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.627%E +0.269%K +0.471%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.627%E +0.269%K +0.471%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.237%E -0.103%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -13.08%E -8.55%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -0.669%E -0.291%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 11:05 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -14.21%E -9.41%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -1.53%E -0.672%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:04 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.24%E -6.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:08 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.37%E -7.29%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.558%E +0.315%K +0.725%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -13.64%E -8.98%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.74%E -4.66%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV +1.13%E +0.633%K +1.44%G +0.016% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -11.03%E -5.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.558%E +0.315%K +0.725%G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.26%E +1.26%K +2.83%G +0.064% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.578%E -0.330%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -1.15%E -0.659%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-25 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 69.70% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 30.30% | 43.5% | 2026-06-25 11:10 |