Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.68%31.51%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.983.003.1834.72%33.53%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 68.42%1.46fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.32%68.49%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.46%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 31.58%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 68.42%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.425%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +0.425%E +0.134%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -3.53%E -2.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-23 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 04:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 06:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 03:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-23 05:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-23 07:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 04:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.32%E -6.21%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 06:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.48%E -1.02%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 05:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 05:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 1.4% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |