Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Elina Svitolina

Início: 2026-06-23 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 31.58%3.17odd justa
EV +0.425%
Vantagem +0.134%
Kelly +0.195%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.68%31.51%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.882.983.003.1834.72%33.53%33.33%31.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Previsão 68.42%1.46odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%68.32%68.49%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.46%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 31.58%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 68.42%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.425%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +0.425%E +0.134%K +0.195%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -3.53%E -2.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 00:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 12:30
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:59
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 04:20
BetAnything🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:09
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:30
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 05:10
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 16:10
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:59
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 07:38
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 11:49
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 11:50
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.32%E -6.21%K -24.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 06:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 05:10
FanDuel🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 06:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 16:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:49
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 05:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.48%E -1.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 03:39
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:19
SportsBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 06:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 05:10
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 06:19
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 05:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%1.4%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-06-23 10:20