L’École des cotes

Liudmila Samsonova v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV +0.425%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.195%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%31.68%31.51%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.882.983.003.1834.72%33.53%33.33%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.42%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%68.32%68.49%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.46%72.46%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +0.425%E +0.134%K +0.195%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -3.53%E -2.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 00:50
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 12:30
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 12:30
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.10%E -0.678%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:59
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 10:20
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 04:20
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -0.993%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 04:20
BetAnything3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 05:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 16:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:59
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 05:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:59
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 05:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 07:38
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 11:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 11:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.77%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 05:10
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:10
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.32%E -6.21%K -24.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 06:19
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.90%E -3.52%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:29
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 05:10
FanDuel2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 06:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 16:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:49
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 05:10
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.48%E -1.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 03:39
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.21%E -3.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:19
SportsBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.58%E -4.04%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 06:19
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 05:10
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 06:19
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.95%E -5.11%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 05:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-23 12:30
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%1.4%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-06-23 10:20