Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Irina-Camelia Begu

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 84.05%1.19fair odd
EV +53.81%
Edge +29.40%
Kelly +64.83%
Growth +34.88%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%82.22%84.27%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.131.8390.91%87.82%88.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit)

Prediction 15.95%6.27fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +0.569%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%17.78%15.73%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.835.795.806.5054.64%17.26%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 84.05%; Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit): 15.95%. For Karolina Muchova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +53.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +53.81%E +29.40%K +64.83%G +34.88%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -70.81%E -38.69%K -85.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-24 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.25%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.292%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 16:00
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -3.48%E -0.576%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -6.51%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.69%E -0.440%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.23%E -4.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:58
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%4.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.07%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 15:59
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%5.5%2026-06-24 16:00
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%10.1%2026-06-24 15:59