A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Irina-Camelia Begu

Início: 2026-06-24 16:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 84.05%1.19odd justa
EV +53.81%
Vantagem +29.40%
Kelly +64.83%
Crescimento +34.88%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%82.22%84.27%85.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.141.131.8390.91%87.82%88.50%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visitante)

Previsão 15.95%6.27odd justa
EV +3.70%
Vantagem +0.569%
Kelly +0.672%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.59%17.78%15.73%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.835.795.806.5054.64%17.26%17.24%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +53.81%E +29.40%K +64.83%G +34.88%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -70.81%E -38.69%K -85.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-24 16:00
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:00
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.25%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.292%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 16:00
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -3.48%E -0.576%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:59
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -6.51%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.69%E -0.440%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.23%E -4.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:58
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%4.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 16:00
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.07%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 15:59
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%5.5%2026-06-24 16:00
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%10.1%2026-06-24 15:59