مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Muchova v Irina-Camelia Begu

البداية: 2026-06-24 16:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Muchova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 84.05%1.19السعر العادل
EV +53.81%
الأفضلية +29.40%
Kelly +64.83%
النمو +34.88%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%82.22%84.27%85.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.141.131.8390.91%87.82%88.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Irina-Camelia Begu (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.95%6.27السعر العادل
EV +3.70%
الأفضلية +0.569%
Kelly +0.672%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.59%17.78%15.73%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.835.795.806.5054.64%17.26%17.24%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +53.81%E +29.40%K +64.83%G +34.88%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -70.81%E -38.69%K -85.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-24 16:00
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -9.55%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:00
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.35%E -2.91%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.25%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.292%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 16:00
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -3.48%E -0.576%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:59
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -6.51%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 15:59
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.69%E -0.440%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:00
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.23%E -4.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:58
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%4.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:59
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.506%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 16:00
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 16:00
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.07%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 16:00
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.26%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 15:59
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.70%E +0.569%K +0.672%G +0.025%5.5%2026-06-24 16:00
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 15:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.28%E -0.713%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.47%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 16:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -10.66%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -1.09%E -0.176%K -0.210%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.27%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-24 16:00
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%10.1%2026-06-24 15:59