Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Emma Navarro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 68.79%1.45fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%69.05%68.49%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.14%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emma Navarro (Visit)
Prediction 31.21%3.20fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%30.95%31.51%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.023.4036.36%32.78%33.06%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 68.79%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 31.21%. For Emma Navarro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +6.12%E +1.80%K +2.55%G +0.156% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -10.58%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +3.00%E +0.909%K +1.30%G +0.039% | 7.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 8.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.434%E -0.136%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-24 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -2.31%E -0.737%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.86%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48% | 3.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |