A Escola das Odds

Iga Swiatek v Emma Navarro

Início: 2026-06-24 13:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 68.79%1.45odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -5.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%69.05%68.49%72.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.14%73.53%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Previsão 31.21%3.20odd justa
EV +6.12%
Vantagem +1.80%
Kelly +2.55%
Crescimento +0.156%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%30.95%31.51%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.053.023.4036.36%32.78%33.06%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +6.12%E +1.80%K +2.55%G +0.156%5.2%2026-06-24 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -10.58%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +3.00%E +0.909%K +1.30%G +0.039%7.2%2026-06-24 13:40
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009%4.3%2026-06-24 13:40
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009%5.4%2026-06-24 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009%8.9%2026-06-24 13:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 13:39
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 13:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.434%E -0.136%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 13:29
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -2.31%E -0.737%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 13:40
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 13:29
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:30
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 13:36
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 13:40
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 13:36
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 13:40
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 13:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 13:39
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:37
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 13:40
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 13:36
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 13:40
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:37
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 13:40
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:40
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:35
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:36
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.86%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 13:36
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:40
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 13:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 13:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 13:37
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 13:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-24 13:40
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-06-24 13:40
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-06-24 13:40
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%3.5%2026-06-24 13:40