La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Emma Navarro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 68.79%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -5.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%69.05%68.49%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.14%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Emma Navarro (Visitante)
Predicción 31.21%3.20momio equitativo
EV +6.12%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.55%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%30.95%31.51%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.023.4036.36%32.78%33.06%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +6.12%E +1.80%K +2.55%G +0.156% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -10.58%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +3.00%E +0.909%K +1.30%G +0.039% | 7.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV +1.44%E +0.443%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 8.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.122%E -0.038%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.434%E -0.136%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-24 13:29 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -2.31%E -0.737%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.84%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetUS | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.32%E -1.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.86%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.07%E -3.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.01%E -2.13%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48% | 3.5% | 2026-06-24 13:40 |