Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys v Emma Navarro

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys (Local)

Prediction 36.56%2.74fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.758%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%36.66%36.59%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7041.67%38.24%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Emma Navarro (Visit)

Prediction 63.44%1.58fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.34%63.41%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.481.5569.93%67.30%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eva Lys (Local): 36.56%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 63.44%. For Eva Lys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 19:09
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 06:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 06:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 05:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.28%E -6.49%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:59
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:19
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.00%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 05:59
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 05:59
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 07:39
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 07:30
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 06:50
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:59
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:49
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:58
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:59
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:30
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 06:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.38%E -5.05%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 06:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 06:29
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.26%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-06-23 07:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-06-23 07:40