L’École des cotes

Eva Lys v Emma Navarro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Prévision 36.56%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.477%
Kelly -0.758%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.22%36.66%36.59%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7041.67%38.24%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emma Navarro (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.44%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%63.34%63.41%64.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.481.5569.93%67.30%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 19:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 06:19
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 06:00
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 19:10
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:29
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 05:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:50
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.28%E -6.49%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 19:10
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 04:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:59
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:19
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.00%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 05:59
SportsBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 05:59
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 07:39
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 07:30
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 06:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:49
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:50
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:58
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:59
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:30
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 06:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.38%E -5.05%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 19:09
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 06:49
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 06:29
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:48
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.26%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-06-23 07:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-06-23 07:40