La escuela de los momios

Eva Lys v Emma Navarro

Inicio: 2026-06-23 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Predicción 36.56%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.477%
Kelly -0.758%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.22%36.66%36.59%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7041.67%38.24%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 63.44%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%63.34%63.41%64.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.481.5569.93%67.30%67.57%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 19:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.29%E -0.477%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 06:19
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 06:00
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 19:10
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:29
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 19:10
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 05:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:50
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.28%E -6.49%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 19:10
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 04:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:59
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:19
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.00%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 05:59
SportsBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 05:59
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 07:39
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 07:30
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 06:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 05:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:49
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 05:50
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:58
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 05:59
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 07:30
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 06:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.38%E -5.05%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 19:09
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.41%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:39
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 06:49
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 06:29
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 06:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:48
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 05:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.26%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-06-23 07:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-06-23 07:40