Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Karolina Muchova

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV +0.882%
Edge +0.294%
Kelly +0.441%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.69%33.69%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.562.802.803.0039.06%35.71%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visit)

Prediction 66.37%1.51fair odd
EV +0.223%
Edge +0.148%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%66.31%66.31%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.92%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 33.63%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 66.37%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.882%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 12:30
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:30
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.07%E -6.62%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 12:30
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 12:49
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 12:49
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 12:29
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 11:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 10:20
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:59
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 05:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 12:49
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 12:50
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.22%E -4.25%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +0.223%E +0.148%K +0.437%G +0.001%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.91%E -5.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.43%E -1.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-26 12:50
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-06-26 12:50