L’École des cotes

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV +0.882%
Avantage +0.294%
Kelly +0.441%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.13%33.69%33.69%36.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.562.802.803.0039.06%35.71%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.37%1.51cote équitable
EV +0.223%
Avantage +0.148%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.26%66.31%66.31%67.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.92%69.93%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 12:30
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 12:50
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 12:30
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:29
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:30
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:29
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.07%E -6.62%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 12:30
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:00
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 12:49
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 12:49
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 09:29
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 12:29
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 11:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:29
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:19
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 10:20
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:59
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 05:39
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 12:49
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 12:39
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 12:50
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.22%E -4.25%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 12:49
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +0.223%E +0.148%K +0.437%G +0.001%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.91%E -5.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.43%E -1.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 12:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-26 12:50
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-06-26 12:50