Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Karolina Muchova

Inicio: 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Predicción 33.63%2.97momio equitativo
EV +0.882%
Ventaja +0.294%
Kelly +0.441%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.13%33.69%33.69%36.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.562.802.803.0039.06%35.71%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Predicción 66.37%1.51momio equitativo
EV +0.223%
Ventaja +0.148%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.26%66.31%66.31%67.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.92%69.93%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 33.63%; Karolina Muchova (Visitante): 66.37%. Para Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.97. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.882%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.882%E +0.294%K +0.441%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 12:30
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.48%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:30
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 12:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.07%E -6.62%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 12:30
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 12:49
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 12:49
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 12:29
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 12:29
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 11:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.41%E -4.55%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 10:20
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:59
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 05:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 12:49
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 12:50
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.22%E -4.25%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.441%E -0.294%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +0.223%E +0.148%K +0.437%G +0.001%4.7%2026-06-26 12:49
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.91%E -5.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.43%E -1.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 12:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-26 12:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-26 12:50
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-06-26 12:50