Language:English
Alexandra Eala v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV +0.241%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%44.66%44.42%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.73%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +4.24%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%55.34%55.58%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.8763.69%58.65%58.48%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 44.55%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 55.45%. For Elise Mertens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +3.69%E +1.97%K +4.24%G +0.156% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.193%E -0.107%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.89%E -3.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 17:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 17:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.54%E -0.697%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-22 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 17:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.11%E -2.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.96%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.241%E +0.107%K +0.193%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-22 17:58 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 17:59 |