La escuela de los momios

Alexandra Eala v Elise Mertens

Inicio: 2026-06-22 18:03 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.241%
Ventaja +0.107%
Kelly +0.193%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%44.66%44.42%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.73%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo
EV +3.69%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +4.24%
Crecimiento +0.156%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%55.34%55.58%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.711.711.8763.69%58.65%58.48%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +3.69%E +1.97%K +4.24%G +0.156%5.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.193%E -0.107%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.89%E -3.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 17:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 17:59
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:58
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 18:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.54%E -0.697%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:59
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:58
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 17:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 17:29
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 17:59
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:59
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:59
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 17:54
Betsson2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.11%E -2.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 17:30
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 17:29
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 17:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.96%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 17:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.241%E +0.107%K +0.193%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-06-22 18:00
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-22 17:58
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%3.8%2026-06-22 18:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%6.3%2026-06-22 17:59