L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 18:03 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 44.55%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.241%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%44.66%44.42%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.73%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.45%1.80cote équitable
EV +3.69%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +4.24%
Croissance +0.156%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%55.34%55.58%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.711.8763.69%58.65%58.48%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +3.69%E +1.97%K +4.24%G +0.156%5.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.193%E -0.107%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.747%E -0.418%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.89%E -3.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 17:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 17:59
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:58
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 18:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.97%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.54%E -0.697%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:59
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:58
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:59
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 17:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 17:29
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.33%E -3.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 17:59
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:59
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 17:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:59
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 17:54
Betsson2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.11%E -2.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 17:30
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 17:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 17:29
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 17:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.96%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 17:29
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 17:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.73%E -6.66%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 17:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.241%E +0.107%K +0.193%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 18:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.99%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-06-22 18:00
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-22 17:58
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%3.8%2026-06-22 18:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%6.3%2026-06-22 17:59