Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 17.00
assuming max odds 1.08
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wu Yibing (Local): 10.01%; Novak Djokovic (Visit): 89.99%. For Wu Yibing (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.99. 36 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +70.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +70.09%E +4.12%K +4.38%G +3.07% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV +7.06%E +0.660%K +0.728%G +0.051% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.06%E +0.482%K +0.532%G +0.027% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.56%E +0.249%K +0.276%G +0.007% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +2.06%E +0.202%K +0.223%G +0.005% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.46%EV -0.445%E -0.045%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.54%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -0.946%E -0.096%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.65%EV -2.55%E -0.261%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.35%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -3.95%E -0.411%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.19I 10.88%NM 10.52%EV -8.05%E -0.876%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.48%EV -2.81%E -2.60%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.96%E -4.28%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |