La escuela de los momios

Wu Yibing v Novak Djokovic

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wu Yibing (Local)

Predicción 10.01%9.99momio equitativo
EV +70.09%
Ventaja +4.12%
Kelly +4.38%
Crecimiento +3.07%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.66%9.99%9.91%13.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.9110.0017.0014.29%10.09%10.00%5.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Novak Djokovic (Visitante)

Predicción 89.99%1.11momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -35.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%90.01%90.09%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.08%95.24%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +70.09%E +4.12%K +4.38%G +3.07%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 17:50
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Sky Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:50
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:50
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:50
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:49
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:49
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:48
BetAnything10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV +7.06%E +0.660%K +0.728%G +0.051%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:50
Coolbet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.06%E +0.482%K +0.532%G +0.027%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Marathon Bet10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.56%E +0.249%K +0.276%G +0.007%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:49
DraftKings10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +2.06%E +0.202%K +0.223%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:51
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Bally Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:48
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:50
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Fliff9.95I 10.05%NM 9.46%EV -0.445%E -0.045%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.54%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
MyBookie.ag9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -0.946%E -0.096%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:50
GTbets9.74I 10.27%NM 9.65%EV -2.55%E -0.261%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.35%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:50
Fanatics9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -3.95%E -0.411%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:50
NetBet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Pinnacle9.19I 10.88%NM 10.52%EV -8.05%E -0.876%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.48%EV -2.81%E -2.60%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:51
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:50
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:50
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:50
NordicBet8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Betsson8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Neds8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:50
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:50
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:49
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.96%E -4.28%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:51
ProphetX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%1.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-06-29 17:51
Smarkets12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%3.2%2026-06-29 17:50