L’École des cotes

Wu Yibing v Novak Djokovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wu Yibing (Local)

Prévision 10.01%9.99cote équitable
EV +70.09%
Avantage +4.12%
Kelly +4.38%
Croissance +3.07%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.66%9.99%9.91%13.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.9110.0017.0014.29%10.09%10.00%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.99%1.11cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -35.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.85%90.01%90.09%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.08%95.24%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +70.09%E +4.12%K +4.38%G +3.07%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 17:50
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +50.08%E +3.34%K +3.58%G +1.79%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Sky Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:50
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +20.07%E +1.67%K +1.82%G +0.366%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:50
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:50
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:49
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:49
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.06%E +0.915%K +1.01%G +0.101%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.31%E -7.09%K -243.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:48
BetAnything10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV +7.06%E +0.660%K +0.728%G +0.051%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:50
Coolbet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.06%E +0.482%K +0.532%G +0.027%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Marathon Bet10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.56%E +0.249%K +0.276%G +0.007%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:49
DraftKings10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +2.06%E +0.202%K +0.223%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:51
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Bally Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:48
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:50
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.055%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Fliff9.95I 10.05%NM 9.46%EV -0.445%E -0.045%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.54%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:50
MyBookie.ag9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -0.946%E -0.096%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:50
GTbets9.74I 10.27%NM 9.65%EV -2.55%E -0.261%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.35%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:50
Fanatics9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -3.95%E -0.411%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:50
NetBet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.95%E -0.521%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -8.21%E -8.04%K -410.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Pinnacle9.19I 10.88%NM 10.52%EV -8.05%E -0.876%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.48%EV -2.81%E -2.60%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:51
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:50
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:50
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.95%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:50
NordicBet8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Betsson8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.51%E -5.24%K -110.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Neds8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.95%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:50
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:50
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -17.45%E -2.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:49
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.46%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.96%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.96%E -4.28%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-06-29 17:51
ProphetX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%1.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-06-29 17:51
Smarkets12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%3.2%2026-06-29 17:50