Language:English
Thanasi Kokkinakis v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local)
Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV +4.82%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%32.24%32.17%35.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.942.903.2538.46%34.04%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 67.75%1.48fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.00%67.76%67.83%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.411.4574.07%71.49%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local): 32.25%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 67.75%. For Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.21%E +1.00%K +1.46%G +0.047% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +2.89%E +0.906%K +1.32%G +0.038% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +1.92%E +0.608%K +0.890%G +0.017% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.54%E -6.33%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.658%E -0.214%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.63%E -0.533%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 12:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.45%E -1.70%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.79%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |