La scuola delle quote

Thanasi Kokkinakis v Alexander Bublik

Inizio: 2026-06-30 12:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Casa)

Previsione 32.25%3.10quota equa
EV +4.82%
Vantaggio +1.48%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescita +0.103%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.50%32.24%32.17%35.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.942.903.2538.46%34.04%34.48%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.75%1.48quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -3.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.00%67.76%67.83%70.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.411.4574.07%71.49%70.92%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:38
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.21%E +1.00%K +1.46%G +0.047%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:39
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +2.89%E +0.906%K +1.32%G +0.038%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
SportsBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +1.92%E +0.608%K +0.890%G +0.017%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:35
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.54%E -6.33%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.658%E -0.214%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.63%E -0.533%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 12:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:40
BetUS2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:38
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.45%E -1.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:38
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:35
DraftKings2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.79%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
MyBookie.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 12:38
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:40
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:39
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:40
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:40
Betsson2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
NordicBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:38
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%0.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-06-30 12:40