L’École des cotes

Thanasi Kokkinakis v Alexander Bublik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 12:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local)

Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV +4.82%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +2.14%
Croissance +0.103%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%32.24%32.17%35.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.942.903.2538.46%34.04%34.48%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.75%1.48cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -3.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.00%67.76%67.83%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.401.411.4574.07%71.49%70.92%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.82%E +1.48%K +2.14%G +0.103%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:38
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.21%E +1.00%K +1.46%G +0.047%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:39
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +2.89%E +0.906%K +1.32%G +0.038%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
SportsBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +1.92%E +0.608%K +0.890%G +0.017%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:35
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.54%E -6.33%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.658%E -0.214%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.63%E -0.533%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 12:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:40
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:40
BetUS2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -7.19%E -5.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:38
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.83%E -4.20%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.45%E -1.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:38
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:35
DraftKings2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.79%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.87%E -5.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
MyBookie.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 12:38
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:40
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:39
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:40
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:40
Betsson2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
NordicBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.80%E -2.68%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:38
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -5.16%E -3.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%0.4%2026-06-30 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-06-30 12:40