Language:English
Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 60.40%1.66fair odd
EV +0.874%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%60.41%60.41%64.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6768.03%63.63%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jack Draper (Visit)
Prediction 39.60%2.53fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%39.59%39.59%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.6245.45%41.93%42.02%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 60.40%; Jack Draper (Visit): 39.60%. For Jack Draper (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -11.21%E -7.62%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV +3.74%E +1.43%K +2.31%G +0.086% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 08:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 04:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 10:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 04:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 13:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.270%E +0.162%K +0.408%G +0.001% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 04:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 04:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 06:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 03:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 03:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 03:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 03:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 10:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.874%E +0.523%K +1.30%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 13:47 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:47 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43% | 9.3% | 2026-06-29 13:48 |