مدرسة الاحتمالات

Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper

البداية: 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Taylor Fritz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.40%1.66السعر العادل
EV +0.874%
الأفضلية +0.523%
Kelly +1.30%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%60.41%60.41%64.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.571.571.6768.03%63.63%63.69%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jack Draper (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.60%2.53السعر العادل
EV +3.74%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +2.31%
النمو +0.086%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.94%39.59%39.59%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.382.6245.45%41.93%42.02%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -11.21%E -7.62%K -23.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV +3.74%E +1.43%K +2.31%G +0.086%6.2%2026-06-26 12:59
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 08:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 04:09
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 12:31
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 10:39
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:39
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:29
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:29
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 04:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 09:19
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:51
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:29
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:41
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:39
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.270%E +0.162%K +0.408%G +0.001%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 13:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:30
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 07:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 06:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:38
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:39
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:39
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 03:40
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 03:40
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 09:19
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:40
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:00
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 09:19
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 03:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 03:39
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.874%E +0.523%K +1.30%G +0.011%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 19:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:10
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-06-29 13:47
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-29 13:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-06-29 13:47
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-06-29 13:48