La scuola delle quote

Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper

Inizio: 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 60.40%1.66quota equa
EV +0.874%
Vantaggio +0.523%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%60.41%60.41%64.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.571.571.6768.03%63.63%63.69%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jack Draper (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.60%2.53quota equa
EV +3.74%
Vantaggio +1.43%
Kelly +2.31%
Crescita +0.086%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.94%39.59%39.59%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.382.6245.45%41.93%42.02%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -11.21%E -7.62%K -23.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV +3.74%E +1.43%K +2.31%G +0.086%6.2%2026-06-26 12:59
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 08:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -2.20%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 04:09
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 12:31
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 10:39
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:39
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:29
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:29
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 04:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 09:19
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:51
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:29
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:41
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:39
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.270%E +0.162%K +0.408%G +0.001%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 13:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:30
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 09:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 07:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 04:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 06:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:38
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:39
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:39
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 03:40
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 03:40
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 09:19
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:40
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:00
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 09:19
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 03:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 03:39
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.874%E +0.523%K +1.30%G +0.011%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 19:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-29 13:10
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-06-29 13:47
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-29 13:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-06-29 13:47
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-06-29 13:48