The School of OddsLanguage:English
Taylor Fritz v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 53.24%1.88fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.64%53.30%53.33%54.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.801.8458.14%56.09%55.56%54.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 46.76%2.14fair odd
EV +0.070%
Edge +0.033%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%46.70%46.67%48.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.892.042.042.1452.91%49.10%49.02%46.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.070%E +0.033%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 14:15 |
| ReBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.20%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 14:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.64%E -2.01%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 14:08 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:13 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-08 14:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -11.62%E -6.15%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-08 14:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-08 14:19 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-07-08 14:20 |