The School of Odds

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Zverev

2026-07-08 13:10 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Option 1: Taylor Fritz (Local)

1.7856.18%Min
1.8753.58%Mean
1.8853.33%Median
1.9351.81%Max
48.94%2.043Min
52.63%1.900Max
50.88%1.965Mean
50.99%1.961Median
50.92%1.964IQM
50.94%1.963Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 50.92%

EV -1.73%Edge -0.898%Kelly -1.86%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Alexander Zverev (Visit)

1.8254.95%Min
1.9252.21%Mean
1.9052.63%Median
2.0050.00%Max
47.37%2.111Min
51.06%1.959Max
49.12%2.036Mean
49.01%2.041Median
49.08%2.037IQM
49.06%2.038Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 49.08%

EV -1.83%Edge -0.915%Kelly -1.83%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTaylor Fritz (Local) ▼Alexander Zverev (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.93I 51.81% NM 50.89%EV -1.73% E -0.898% K -1.86% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 49.11%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -1.73% E -0.898% K -1.86% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -9.19% E -4.97% K -10.82% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.75% E -1.44% K -3.02% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:55
GTbets1.90I 52.63% NM 50.13%EV -3.26% E -1.72% K -3.62% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 16:44
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -3.26% E -1.72% K -3.62% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -6.74% E -3.55% K -7.49% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:44
PlayUp1.90I 52.63% NM 49.60%EV -3.26% E -1.72% K -3.62% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.40%EV -8.21% E -4.39% K -9.44% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 17:45
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63% NM 49.33%EV -3.26% E -1.72% K -3.62% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.67%EV -9.19% E -4.97% K -10.82% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 17:44
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.91%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 49.09%EV -3.79% E -1.94% K -3.95% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:30
Unibet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:44
Casumo1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:44
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
TABtouch1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
BetRivers1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
betPARX1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:45
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -3.77% E -1.99% K -4.24% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:44
Coolbet1.88I 53.19% NM 51.55%EV -4.28% E -2.28% K -4.86% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.45%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -4.28% E -2.28% K -4.86% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -5.27% E -2.73% K -5.66% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -4.28% E -2.28% K -4.86% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -5.76% E -3.00% K -6.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.79% E -2.56% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.28% E -2.20% K -4.51% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:54
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.79% E -2.56% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.28% E -2.20% K -4.51% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -4.79% E -2.56% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:55
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -4.79% E -2.56% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.86I 53.76% NM 50.66%EV -5.30% E -2.85% K -6.16% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.34%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 16:55
Betsson1.86I 53.76% NM 50.53%EV -5.30% E -2.85% K -6.16% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 49.47%EV -6.74% E -3.55% K -7.49% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 16:55
NordicBet1.86I 53.76% NM 50.53%EV -5.30% E -2.85% K -6.16% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 49.47%EV -6.74% E -3.55% K -7.49% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 16:55
FanDuel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -5.81% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -2.81% E -1.42% K -2.87% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:24
Betway1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.81% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.28% E -2.20% K -4.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:49
888sport1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.81% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.28% E -2.20% K -4.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.81% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.27% E -2.73% K -5.66% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 17:40
ReBet1.85I 54.05% NM 50.53%EV -5.81% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 49.47%EV -7.23% E -3.83% K -8.12% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 16:55
SportsBet1.84I 54.35% NM 52.08%EV -6.32% E -3.43% K -7.52% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.92%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 17:25
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35% NM 51.19%EV -6.32% E -3.43% K -7.52% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.81%EV -5.27% E -2.73% K -5.66% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 17:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:20
DraftKings1.83I 54.64% NM 52.09%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%1.99I 50.25% NM 47.91%EV -2.32% E -1.17% K -2.34% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 17:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.25% E -3.27% K -6.87% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 17:05
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64% NM 50.94%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 49.06%EV -6.74% E -3.55% K -7.49% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 17:38
Fliff1.83I 54.64% NM 50.54%EV -6.82% E -3.73% K -8.22% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 49.46%EV -8.21% E -4.39% K -9.44% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 17:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.44% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.44% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -1.83% E -0.915% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:15
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56% NM 51.35%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.44% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 48.65%EV -6.74% E -3.55% K -7.49% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56% NM 50.55%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.44% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 49.45%EV -9.68% E -5.26% K -11.53% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-07 16:54
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 50.56%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 49.44%EV -10.67% E -5.86% K -13.01% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerTaylor Fritz (Local)Alexander Zverev (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.76I 56.82% NM 53.07%1.99I 50.25% NM 46.93%7.1%2026-07-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.08%1.98I 50.51% NM 46.92%7.6%2026-07-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.08%1.98I 50.51% NM 46.92%7.6%2026-07-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.08%1.98I 50.51% NM 46.92%7.6%2026-07-07 17:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56% NM 50.55%1.84I 54.35% NM 49.45%9.9%2026-07-07 16:55