La escuela de los momios

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Zverev

Inicio: 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Predicción 53.24%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%53.30%53.33%54.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.781.801.8458.14%56.09%55.56%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Predicción 46.76%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.070%
Ventaja +0.033%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%46.70%46.67%48.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.042.042.1452.91%49.10%49.02%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.070%E +0.033%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 14:20
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-08 14:20
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 14:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:20
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 14:19
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:15
ReBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 14:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:19
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.20%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:08
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.64%E -2.01%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:08
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:19
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:19
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:13
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:19
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:19
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 14:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 14:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:20
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:19
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 14:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 14:18
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -11.62%E -6.15%K -13.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 14:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 14:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-08 14:19
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-08 14:20
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-07-08 14:20