مدرسة الاحتمالات

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Taylor Fritz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.24%1.88السعر العادل
EV -2.04%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.64%53.30%53.33%54.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.781.801.8458.14%56.09%55.56%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.76%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.070%
الأفضلية +0.033%
Kelly +0.062%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.03%46.70%46.67%48.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.892.042.042.1452.91%49.10%49.02%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.070%E +0.033%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 14:20
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-08 14:20
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -1.33%E -0.632%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 14:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 14:19
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.80%E -0.857%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:20
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 14:19
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:15
ReBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 14:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.43%E -4.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.74%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:19
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.20%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:08
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.64%E -2.01%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:08
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:19
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:19
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:13
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:19
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:19
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 14:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 14:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.57%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.37%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:20
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:19
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.17%E -2.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 14:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 14:18
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -5.77%E -3.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -11.62%E -6.15%K -13.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 14:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 14:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-08 14:19
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-08 14:20
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-07-08 14:20