La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Stan Wawrinka v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Stan Wawrinka (Casa)
Previsione 20.59%4.86quota equa
EV +16.55%
Vantaggio +2.92%
Kelly +3.55%
Crescita +0.588%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.89%20.93%20.78%28.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.644.695.6629.41%21.53%21.32%17.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 79.41%1.26quota equa
EV +5.61%
Vantaggio +4.22%
Kelly +17.01%
Crescita +0.955%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.88%79.07%79.22%83.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.181.171.3390.09%84.43%85.47%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -29.99%E -8.82%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.61%E +4.22%K +17.01%G +0.955% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| GTbets | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.33%EV -14.75%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.67%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -25.87%E -7.19%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -17.43%E -4.35%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -22.78%E -6.07%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -16.60%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -3.42%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -11.45%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:36 |
| PlayUp | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:33 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.51%E -3.22%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -14.54%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.92%E -3.24%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 16:33 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -19.69%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 16:36 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:28 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.09%E -6.06%K -41.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| DraftKings | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.89%EV +16.55%E +2.92%K +3.55%G +0.588% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betsson | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +7.08%E +1.36%K +1.69%G +0.119% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Fliff | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.86%E -10.68%K -107.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ProphetX | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Novig | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |