Langue:Français
Stan Wawrinka v Matteo Berrettini
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Prévision 20.59%4.86cote équitable
EV +16.55%
Avantage +2.92%
Kelly +3.55%
Croissance +0.588%
avec la cote maximale 5.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.89%20.93%20.78%28.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.404.644.695.6629.41%21.53%21.32%17.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)
Prévision 79.41%1.26cote équitable
EV +5.61%
Avantage +4.22%
Kelly +17.01%
Croissance +0.955%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.88%79.07%79.22%83.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.181.171.3390.09%84.43%85.47%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stan Wawrinka (Local) : 20.59% ; Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur) : 79.41%. Pour Stan Wawrinka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.86. 29 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.66, soit une espérance positive de +16.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -29.99%E -8.82%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.61%E +4.22%K +17.01%G +0.955% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.33%EV -14.75%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.67%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -25.87%E -7.19%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -17.43%E -4.35%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -22.78%E -6.07%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -16.60%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -3.42%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -11.45%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.51%E -3.22%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -14.54%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.92%E -3.24%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 16:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -19.69%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 16:36 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.09%E -6.06%K -41.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.89%EV +16.55%E +2.92%K +3.55%G +0.588% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +7.08%E +1.36%K +1.69%G +0.119% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.86%E -10.68%K -107.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |