مدرسة الاحتمالات

Stan Wawrinka v Matteo Berrettini

البداية: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Stan Wawrinka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.59%4.86السعر العادل
EV +16.55%
الأفضلية +2.92%
Kelly +3.55%
النمو +0.588%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.89%20.93%20.78%28.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.644.695.6629.41%21.53%21.32%17.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Berrettini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 79.41%1.26السعر العادل
EV +5.61%
الأفضلية +4.22%
Kelly +17.01%
النمو +0.955%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.88%79.07%79.22%83.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.181.171.3390.09%84.43%85.47%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -29.99%E -8.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.61%E +4.22%K +17.01%G +0.955%4.6%2026-06-30 16:38
GTbets4.14I 24.15%NM 23.33%EV -14.75%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.67%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 16:00
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -25.87%E -7.19%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 16:35
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -17.43%E -4.35%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 16:09
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:00
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -22.78%E -6.07%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:38
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -16.60%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:12
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:00
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:00
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Pinnacle4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -3.42%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 16:00
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 16:00
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 16:00
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:59
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -11.45%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:29
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 16:38
MyBookie.ag4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:36
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:33
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.51%E -3.22%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:00
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -14.54%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:59
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:08
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.92%E -3.24%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:30
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:59
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:40
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:59
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 16:33
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:29
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -19.69%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 16:36
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:28
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.09%E -6.06%K -41.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
DraftKings5.66I 17.67%NM 16.89%EV +16.55%E +2.92%K +3.55%G +0.588%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Bally Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:40
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:39
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Betsson5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:40
NordicBet5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:39
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +7.08%E +1.36%K +1.69%G +0.119%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.86%E -10.68%K -107.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 16:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-06-30 16:39
ProphetX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%4.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39