StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stan Wawrinka v Matteo Berrettini

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stan Wawrinka (Heim)

Prognose 20.59%4.86faire Quote
EV +16.55%
Vorteil +2.92%
Kelly +3.55%
Wachstum +0.588%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.89%20.93%20.78%28.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.404.644.695.6629.41%21.53%21.32%17.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts)

Prognose 79.41%1.26faire Quote
EV +5.61%
Vorteil +4.22%
Kelly +17.01%
Wachstum +0.955%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.88%79.07%79.22%83.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.111.181.171.3390.09%84.43%85.47%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Stan Wawrinka (Heim): 20.59%; Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts): 79.41%. Für Stan Wawrinka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.86. 29 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.66 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +16.55%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -29.99%E -8.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.61%E +4.22%K +17.01%G +0.955%4.6%2026-06-30 16:38
GTbets🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.33%EV -14.75%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.67%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 16:00
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -25.87%E -7.19%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +0.054%E +0.043%K +0.208%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 16:35
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -17.43%E -4.35%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 16:09
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:00
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:59
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -22.78%E -6.07%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -0.740%E -0.592%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:38
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -16.60%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:12
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:00
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:00
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.75%E -5.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.53%E -1.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Pinnacle🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -3.42%E -0.730%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 16:00
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:59
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -11.45%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.33%E -1.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:29
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 16:38
MyBookie.ag🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:36
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:33
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.51%E -3.22%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -14.54%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:59
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.63%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.12%E -2.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:08
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.92%E -3.24%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:30
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.28%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:40
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.48%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.71%E -3.93%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 16:33
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -19.69%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -5.50%E -4.63%K -28.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 16:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.30%E -5.34%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:28
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.09%E -6.06%K -41.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -7.89%E -6.80%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
DraftKings🎯5.66I 17.67%NM 16.89%EV +16.55%E +2.92%K +3.55%G +0.588%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -2.19%E -0.461%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.68%E -7.55%K -57.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.47%E -8.31%K -67.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:40
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +13.26%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.390%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +0.900%E +0.184%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.27%E -9.09%K -78.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Betsson🎯5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:40
NordicBet🎯5.23I 19.12%NM 17.64%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.82%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +7.08%E +1.36%K +1.69%G +0.119%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Fliff🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +5.02%E +0.984%K +1.22%G +0.061%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -11.06%E -9.88%K -92.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV +2.96%E +0.592%K +0.740%G +0.022%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.86%E -10.68%K -107.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 16:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-06-30 16:39
ProphetX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%4.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39