Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.46
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patrick Kypson (Local): 29.05%; Mackenzie McDonald (Visit): 70.95%. For Patrick Kypson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.526%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +0.526%E +0.152%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.636%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 13:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -0.675%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |