La escuela de los momios

Patrick Kypson v Mackenzie McDonald

Inicio: 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Patrick Kypson (Local)

Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.526%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.214%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.85%29.07%29.04%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.283.303.4632.26%30.48%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mackenzie McDonald (Visitante)

Predicción 70.95%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.84%70.93%70.96%72.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.331.4076.92%74.88%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +0.526%E +0.152%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-30 13:29
SportsBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.636%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 13:30
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 13:29
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:30
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:28
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 13:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:22
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:29
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 13:28
MyBookie.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -0.675%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:29
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:30
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:29
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:29
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:29
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:30
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:29
NordicBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:30
Betsson3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:29
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-06-30 13:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:30
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%2.5%2026-06-30 13:30