L’École des cotes

Patrick Kypson v Mackenzie McDonald

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Patrick Kypson (Local)

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV +0.526%
Avantage +0.152%
Kelly +0.214%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.85%29.07%29.04%30.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.283.303.4632.26%30.48%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mackenzie McDonald (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.95%1.41cote équitable
EV -0.675%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.84%70.93%70.96%72.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.331.4076.92%74.88%75.19%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV +0.526%E +0.152%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-30 13:29
SportsBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.636%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 13:30
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 13:29
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:30
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:28
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:29
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 13:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.67%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:22
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:29
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 13:28
MyBookie.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -0.675%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:29
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:29
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:30
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 13:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:29
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:29
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:29
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:30
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:29
NordicBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:30
Betsson3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:29
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-06-30 13:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-30 13:30
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-30 13:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-06-30 13:30
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%2.5%2026-06-30 13:30