Language:English
Michael Zheng v Cameron Norrie
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michael Zheng (Local)
Prediction 39.75%2.52fair odd
EV -0.619%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%39.69%39.77%41.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 60.25%1.66fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.06%60.31%60.23%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.561.6465.36%63.80%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michael Zheng (Local): 39.75%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 60.25%. For Michael Zheng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.619%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.619%E -0.248%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.21%E -0.898%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.79%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.38%E -3.17%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.76%E -4.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.19%E -0.728%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |