La scuola delle quote

Michael Zheng v Cameron Norrie

Inizio: 2026-06-29 11:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Michael Zheng (Casa)

Previsione 39.75%2.52quota equa
EV -0.619%
Vantaggio -0.248%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.60%39.69%39.77%41.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.25%1.66quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.728%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.06%60.31%60.23%61.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.571.561.6465.36%63.80%64.10%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.619%E -0.248%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 11:39
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.21%E -0.898%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 11:38
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:38
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:39
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:40
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:39
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
ReBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:40
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:39
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 11:39
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:40
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 11:39
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 11:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.79%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:40
NordicBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 11:39
Betsson2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 11:39
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 11:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.38%E -3.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 11:31
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 11:33
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:30
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:40
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 11:38
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.76%E -4.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.19%E -0.728%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:38
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 11:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:40
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-06-29 11:39