La escuela de los momios

Michael Zheng v Cameron Norrie

Inicio: 2026-06-29 11:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Michael Zheng (Local)

Predicción 39.75%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.619%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%39.69%39.77%41.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cameron Norrie (Visitante)

Predicción 60.25%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.728%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.06%60.31%60.23%61.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.561.6465.36%63.80%64.10%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.619%E -0.248%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 11:39
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.21%E -0.898%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 11:38
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:38
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:39
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:40
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:39
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
ReBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:40
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.80%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:39
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 11:39
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:40
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 11:39
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 11:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.79%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:40
NordicBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 11:39
Betsson2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.01%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 11:39
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 11:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.38%E -3.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 11:31
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 11:33
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:30
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:40
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 11:38
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.76%E -4.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.19%E -0.728%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:38
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:39
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-29 11:40
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-06-29 11:39
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-06-29 11:39