Language:English
Kyrian Jacquet v Vilius Gaubas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyrian Jacquet (Local)
Prediction 69.34%1.44fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%69.29%69.51%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.39%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vilius Gaubas (Visit)
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV +0.886%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.387%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%30.71%30.49%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.043.2936.36%32.86%32.89%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyrian Jacquet (Local): 69.34%; Vilius Gaubas (Visit): 30.66%. For Vilius Gaubas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.886%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV +0.886%E +0.269%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.49%E -0.782%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -5.25%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -8.93%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.157%E -0.109%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |