La scuola delle quote

Kyrian Jacquet v Vilius Gaubas

Inizio: 2026-06-30 13:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kyrian Jacquet (Casa)

Previsione 69.34%1.44quota equa
EV -0.157%
Vantaggio -0.109%
Kelly -0.357%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%69.29%69.51%70.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.39%72.46%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vilius Gaubas (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.66%3.26quota equa
EV +0.886%
Vantaggio +0.269%
Kelly +0.387%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.36%30.71%30.49%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.043.043.2936.36%32.86%32.89%30.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV +0.886%E +0.269%K +0.387%G +0.003%2.9%2026-06-30 13:00
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 12:58
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:50
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:58
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 12:49
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 12:49
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.49%E -0.782%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:59
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:58
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:59
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -5.25%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:59
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:59
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:59
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:00
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -8.93%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:00
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:58
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:00
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:59
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 13:00
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 12:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 12:58
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.157%E -0.109%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-30 12:59
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-30 13:00
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-06-30 13:00
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-06-30 13:00
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%3.0%2026-06-30 13:00