La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kyrian Jacquet v Vilius Gaubas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kyrian Jacquet (Local)
Predicción 69.34%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.157%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.357%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%69.29%69.51%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.39%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vilius Gaubas (Visitante)
Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV +0.886%
Ventaja +0.269%
Kelly +0.387%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%30.71%30.49%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.043.2936.36%32.86%32.89%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV +0.886%E +0.269%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.340%E -0.105%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.49%E -0.782%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -5.25%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -8.93%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 12:58 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.157%E -0.109%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.67%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Novig | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |