Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Alexei Popyrin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 75.75%1.32fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -10.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.07%75.63%75.76%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.96%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visit)
Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +0.875%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.37%24.24%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.914.2427.78%25.60%25.58%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 75.75%; Alexei Popyrin (Visit): 24.25%. For Alexei Popyrin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV +2.83%E +0.669%K +0.875%G +0.025% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.86%E +0.444%K +0.583%G +0.011% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 05:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 07:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 04:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -3.23%E -0.809%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%EV -4.44%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 13:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 01:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 01:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 01:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 04:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 09:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 08:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 08:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 08:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 08:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 08:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 17:00 |