La scuola delle quote

Jiri Lehecka v Alexei Popyrin

Inizio: 2026-06-30 17:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Casa)

Previsione 75.75%1.32quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -10.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.07%75.63%75.76%77.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.96%80.00%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.25%4.12quota equa
EV +2.83%
Vantaggio +0.669%
Kelly +0.875%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.51%24.37%24.24%25.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.913.914.2427.78%25.60%25.58%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV +2.83%E +0.669%K +0.875%G +0.025%2.3%2026-06-30 09:09
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.86%E +0.444%K +0.583%G +0.011%5.8%2026-06-29 05:39
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 08:20
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 07:59
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 02:00
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 02:59
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:50
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 04:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 07:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 04:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:30
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:00
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -3.23%E -0.809%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:00
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%EV -4.44%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:10
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 04:09
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:39
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 01:58
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:59
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:24
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 01:59
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:29
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:29
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 01:49
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:40
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 04:10
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:39
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:20
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:19
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:59
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:39
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:29
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 09:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:59
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 09:08
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:49
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 08:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:09
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 08:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 08:10
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 12:45
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 08:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:40
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.6%2026-06-30 16:30
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-06-30 16:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%3.6%2026-06-30 17:00