StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexei Popyrin

Matchstart: 2026-06-30 17:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 75.75%1.32rättvist odds
EV -3.04%
Fördel -2.38%
Kelly -10.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.07%75.63%75.76%77.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.96%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Borta)

Prognos 24.25%4.12rättvist odds
EV +2.83%
Fördel +0.669%
Kelly +0.875%
Tillväxt +0.025%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.51%24.37%24.24%25.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.913.914.2427.78%25.60%25.58%23.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 75.75%; Alexei Popyrin (Borta): 24.25%. För Alexei Popyrin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.12. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.24, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV +2.83%E +0.669%K +0.875%G +0.025%2.3%2026-06-30 09:09
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.86%E +0.444%K +0.583%G +0.011%5.8%2026-06-29 05:39
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.561%E -0.137%K -0.181%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 07:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 02:59
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 04:09
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 04:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:29
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.59%E -6.22%K -34.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -3.23%E -0.809%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:00
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%EV -4.44%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 04:09
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 01:58
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 01:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.07%E -4.90%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 01:49
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 04:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.83%E -5.55%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:20
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:59
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:29
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 09:08
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -3.80%E -2.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 08:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:09
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.04%E -2.38%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 08:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 08:10
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.56%E -3.62%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.32%E -4.25%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 08:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-30 16:40
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.6%2026-06-30 16:30
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-06-30 16:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%3.6%2026-06-30 17:00